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March 15, 2023

March Madness 2023: Tournament Simulation Results

March 15, 2023

March Madness 2023: Forecasting the NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament

April 17, 2022

Schadenfreude: Which NBA Teams’ Losses Drew the Most Attention?

College Basketball, Other

March Madness 2022: Tournament Simulation Results

Posted onMarch 15, 2022March 16, 2022

We use our predictive March Madness model to simulate 10,000 iterations of the tournament. Here’s what we found.

College Basketball, Other

March Madness 2022: Modeling the NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Tournament

Posted onMarch 14, 2022March 15, 2022

It’s that time of the year – we’re creating a new model using detailed data from the past thirteen tournaments to predict March Madness 2022.

NBA

Mathematically Optimizing an NBA Player Guessing Game

Posted onMarch 2, 2022March 3, 2022

An NBA variant of the trendy game “Wordle” has become popular among fans. In this article, I find an optimal strategy for winning “Poeltl.”

NBA

The Next Great Portland Guard Has Arrived

Posted onFebruary 25, 2022March 3, 2022

With Damian Lillard injured and CJ McCollum traded away, Anfernee Simons has given Portland fans a reason to be optimistic for the future.

NFL

PRYA: Modeling NFL Punt Returns for Player Evaluation

Posted onFebruary 5, 2022February 5, 2022

What can tracking data tell us about punt returns? We introduce the evaluation metric Punt Return Yards Added (PRYA) for returners & gunners.

Other

Quantifying the In-Game Impact of Counter-Strike: Global Offensive Players

Posted onFebruary 4, 2022February 6, 2022

We use regularization in the form of ridge regression to evaluate professional players of the game Counter-Strike: Global Offensive.

NBA

How Have the NBA’s New Foul-Baiting Rules Affected League Gameplay?

Posted onJanuary 11, 2022January 11, 2022

The NBA implemented rule changes in the 2021 offseason to mitigate foul-baiting. How has gameplay been affected by the new rules so far?

NBA

Quantifying the Streakiness of NBA Shooters

Posted onDecember 23, 2021December 23, 2021

We can easily measure three-point shooting efficiency with 3P%, but how can we quantify the separate trait of streakiness?

NBA

The Rise of Heliocentrism In NBA Offenses

Posted onNovember 11, 2021November 11, 2021

It certainly feels like more and more NBA offenses are becoming one-dimensional and centered around a single superstar. Do the numbers support this theory?

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