Expected Effective Field Goal Percentage (XeFG%) is defined as the percentage of shots a league average player would successfully make depending on the type of shots a player attempts.
For example, centers tend to have higher XeFG% values than guards because they shoot inside of the paint more often, where the league average percentage is obviously higher.
Therefore, a player’s actual Effective Field Goal Percentage (eFG%) can be compared to their XeFG% to determine if they’re performing above (positive +/-) or below (negative +/-) expectation.
The same values can be calculated for all 30 teams by adding up the totals for each of their players.
For a more detailed explanation, read our article here.
This table has been finalized after the 2015-16 regular season.
| Player | xFG% | FG% | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Bryant | 81.80% | 95.24% | 13.44% |
| Aldrick Rosas* | 87.49% | 96.97% | 9.48% |
| Jason Myers* | 82.77% | 91.67% | 8.90% |
| Robbie Gould | 88.26% | 97.06% | 8.80% |
| Wil Lutz | 84.88% | 93.33% | 8.45% |
| Dustin Hopkins | 82.27% | 89.66% | 7.38% |
| Josh Lambo | 84.35% | 90.48% | 6.13% |
| Justin Tucker+ | 85.01% | 89.74% | 4.73% |
| Jason Sanders | 86.13% | 90.00% | 3.87% |
| Ka'imi Fairbairn | 84.51% | 88.10% | 3.59% |
| Harrison Butker | 86.48% | 88.89% | 2.41% |
| Greg Zuerlein | 86.09% | 87.10% | 1.01% |
| Daniel Carlson | 80.01% | 80.95% | 0.94% |
| Matt Prater | 86.59% | 87.50% | 0.91% |
| Adam Vinatieri | 84.73% | 85.19% | 0.45% |
| Ryan Succop | 86.80% | 86.67% | -0.13% |
| Mason Crosby | 81.63% | 81.08% | -0.55% |
| Greg Joseph | 85.73% | 85.00% | -0.73% |
| Randy Bullock | 83.65% | 82.61% | -1.04% |
| Sebastian Janikowski | 82.89% | 81.48% | -1.40% |
| Brandon McManus | 81.52% | 80.00% | -1.52% |
| Jake Elliott | 85.63% | 83.87% | -1.76% |
| Stephen Hauschka | 80.64% | 78.57% | -2.07% |
| Stephen Gostkowski | 87.56% | 84.38% | -3.19% |
| Brett Maher | 84.01% | 80.56% | -3.45% |
| Chandler Catanzaro | 87.78% | 80.00% | -7.78% |
| Cody Parkey | 85.85% | 76.67% | -9.18% |
| Dan Bailey | 87.17% | 75.00% | -12.17% |
| Chris Boswell | 84.35% | 65.00% | -19.35% |